The base rate trap: why a 99% accurate positive usually means nothing
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The base rate trap: why a 99% accurate positive usually means nothing. A test that is ninety nine percent accurate says you are positive. You are probably fine. Not maybe fine. Around ninety one percent likely to be perfectly well. Same test, same res
Based on the board The 99 Percent Test That Is Usually Wrong.
Try it in the lab: The 99 percent test.
Covered in The Stranger With Your Card Number - scoring a payment in a moment, and why most alerts are wrong, The 99 Percent Test That Is Usually Wrong.
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